3.2.04

LINKS: another OGIW-given Kerry beating Bush poll. Kerry's still under 55%, so my thesis about that holds.

Matthew Yglesias has some thoughts on what this means:

"It would be nice to believe that a round of post-nomination media scrutiny won't take too much luster of the guy, but that sounds like wishful thinking to me. Still, anyone who thinks Bush is unbeatable certainly needs to think again."

and Matt speaks up for one of the nicer structual features of politics in America, the inability of voters to break from party ID:

"The need to spent a little time putting out fires on his right flank certainly isn't going to help Bush get re-elected, but he'll be able to pull it off pretty easily, so a lot of that support will come back before November."

Though it is worth pointing out that the first and second quotes might be contradicting themselves.

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