15.1.04

LINK: TAP has an interesting dicussion of the possibility that this year's Democratic nomination could go down to the wire. Except that this never happens. Anyone who's ever looked at a model of how primary contests go will note that though the situation always looks tough at the beginning, it always works out in the end (go back to the Dems in 1992 to see this at work): money follows the people with momentum, and only a small number of candidates (perhaps two) can claim a victory after a primary that anyone will take seriously.

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