Anti-Climacus

WELL: Good to see that TNR is finally recognizing what I've been saying since at least January: Minnesota and Wisconsin are swing states. How could I possibly have predicted this, you ask, given my famous aversion to judging attitudes by polls? One only needs to look at electoral returns from each state on the state and national level (think the success of Tommy Thompson, Norm Coleman, and he relative strength of Bush in 2000), thus substantiating once again that the best way to guess how people will vote this time is to know how they voted last time.